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M Scale Top 4 is in

First of all, I did intend to post following the Rivalry Week games.  However, technical difficulties (newest version of Firefox didn’t play well with the site editor, neither did Edge, so I ended up having to download Chrome) stalled me until the Conference Championships were nigh.

So here we go. Yes, Bama is not in my Top 4. And UCF is. Not to disparage the Knights, but I will likely adjust the G5 Nerf to keep one of them from sneaking in going forward.  Well, not make it impossible, but at least a little harder. Let’s face it, no G5 is ever getting into the CFP unless it is expanded to at least 8 teams, maybe more.

That said, UCF has had a fantastic year and it would not surprise me to see them win their Peach Bowl matchup against Auburn. Well, not much anyway…

So here are the two Scales you haven’t seen.  First, the one after Rivalry Week 13, then the Conference Championship Week update:

Rivalry Week

1 Wisconsin Big 10 12 0 1.000
2 Clemson ACC 11 1 0.917
3 Oklahoma Big 12 11 1 0.917
4 Central Florida American Athletic 11 0 1.000
5 Georgia SEC 11 1 0.917
6 Alabama SEC 11 1 0.917
7 Ohio St Big 10 10 2 0.833
8 Miami ACC 10 1 0.909
9 Auburn SEC 10 2 0.833
10 USC Pac 12 10 2 0.833
11 Washington Pac 12 10 2 0.833
12 Stanford Pac 12 9 3 0.750
13 Memphis American Athletic 10 1 0.909
14 Penn State Big 10 10 2 0.833
15 Northwestern Big 10 9 3 0.750
16 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 9 3 0.750
17 Michigan St Big 10 9 3 0.750
18 Texas Christian Big 12 10 2 0.833
19 LSU SEC 9 3 0.750
20 Washington State Pac 12 9 3 0.750
21 San Diego St Mountain West 10 2 0.833
22 Oklahoma St Big 12 9 3 0.750
23 South Florida American Athletic 9 2 0.818
24 Toledo MAC 10 2 0.833
25 Virginia Tech ACC 9 3 0.750

Championship Week

1 Clemson ACC 12 1 0.923 211
2 Oklahoma Big 12 12 1 0.923 206
3 Central Florida American Athletic 12 0 1.000 205
4 Georgia SEC 12 1 0.923 203
5 Ohio St Big 10 11 2 0.846 203
6 Wisconsin Big 10 12 1 0.923 192
7 USC Pac 12 11 2 0.846 188
8 Alabama SEC 11 1 0.917 184
9 Washington Pac 12 10 2 0.833 163
10 Miami ACC 10 2 0.833 162
11 Penn State Big 10 10 2 0.833 159
12 Auburn SEC 10 3 0.769 156
13 LSU SEC 9 3 0.750 145
14 Northwestern Big 10 9 3 0.750 148
15 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 9 3 0.750 148
16 Stanford Pac 12 9 4 0.692 147
17 Michigan St Big 10 9 3 0.750 146
18 Memphis American Athletic 10 2 0.833 145
19 Washington State Pac 12 9 3 0.750 136
20 Toledo MAC 11 2 0.846 135
21 San Diego St Mountain West 10 2 0.833 134
22 Troy Sunbelt 10 2 0.833 134
23 Oklahoma St Big 12 9 3 0.750 134
24 Florida Atlantic Conference USA 10 3 0.769 132
25 Boise State Mountain West 10 3 0.769 130
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Cupcake Schedules Shake Up Scale

Nothing wrong with scheduling a FCS school before Rivalry Week. However, on the M Scale, it can cost you.  Dearly.

Just ask Alabama and Clemson. While the playoff committee may be impressed by the old-fashioned butt whoopin’s they put on their respective lower division opponents. the Scale says that these wins cannot be considered equal to wins over a FBS peer program.  Therefore a win nets you only a point while a loss will cost half of your points.

So it is that the Tide and Tigers picked up one measly point for their wins while Wisconsin and Stanford got the full 10% of their FBS victims’ points.

Let the weeping begin…

1 Wisconsin Big 10 11 0 1.000 205
2 Alabama SEC 11 0 1.000 204
3 Miami ACC 10 0 1.000 200
4 Stanford Pac 12 10 2 0.833 184
5 Clemson ACC 10 1 0.909 180
6 Oklahoma Big 12 10 1 0.909 180
7 Georgia SEC 10 1 0.909 177
8 Central Florida American Athletic 10 0 1.000 175
9 USC Pac 12 10 2 0.833 172
10 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 9 2 0.818 165
11 Ohio St Big 10 9 2 0.818 161
12 Memphis American Athletic 9 1 0.900 158
13 Auburn SEC 9 2 0.818 153
14 Penn State Big 10 9 2 0.818 152
15 Washington State Pac 12 9 2 0.818 150
16 Washington Pac 12 9 2 0.818 148
17 Northwestern Big 10 8 3 0.727 144
18 Texas Christian Big 12 9 2 0.818 143
19 South Florida American Athletic 9 1 0.900 142
20 Michigan St Big 10 8 3 0.727 139
21 Boise State Mountain West 9 2 0.818 131
22 Michigan Big 10 8 3 0.727 131
23 San Diego St Mountain West 9 2 0.818 130
24 Oklahoma St Big 12 8 3 0.727 130
25 Mississippi State SEC 8 3 0.727 129

Keep in mind that Rivalry Week and Conference Championship Week will have huge impacts on the Scale standings. As always, until next time, enjoy the games!!

Alabama holds serve; Here comes the ACC!!

Yes, Alabama is still my #1 after the Georgia debacle; the Dawgs slipped to #7.  And suddenly the ACC has two teams in the Top 4 as Miami stuns Notre Dame and Clemson returns to the upper echelon with the win over FSU…

1 Alabama SEC 10 0 1.000 203
2 Wisconsin Big 10 10 0 1.000 190
3 Miami ACC 9 0 1.000 190
4 Clemson ACC 9 1 0.900 179
5 Oklahoma Big 12 9 1 0.900 176
6 Central Florida American Athletic 9 0 1.000 168
7 Georgia SEC 9 1 0.900 165
8 USC Pac 12 9 2 0.818 162
9 Ohio St Big 10 8 2 0.800 156
10 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 8 2 0.800 156
11 Memphis American Athletic 8 1 0.889 150
12 Washington State Pac 12 9 2 0.818 150
13 Michigan Big 10 8 2 0.800 146
14 Auburn SEC 8 2 0.800 146
15 Oklahoma St Big 12 8 2 0.800 145
16 Penn State Big 10 8 2 0.800 144
17 South Florida American Athletic 8 1 0.889 137
18 Stanford Pac 12 7 3 0.700 137
19 Texas Christian Big 12 8 2 0.800 135
20 Northwestern Big 10 7 3 0.700 135
21 Ohio MAC 8 2 0.800 134
22 Army West Point Independent 8 2 0.800 132
23 Michigan St Big 10 7 3 0.700 132
24 San Diego St Mountain West 8 2 0.800 127
25 Boise State Mountain West 8 2 0.800 125

What will happen on the Scale (or the CFP committee) if Auburn wins the Iron Bowl? Until then, enjoy the games!!!

Unloved Badgers and Hurricanes find success on the Scale

Nobody, not the AP nor the College Football Playoff Committee, are giving any love to either Wisconsin or Miami, preferring to insert Clemson and Notre Dame into their Top 4.  Hey, maybe they’re right–conventional wisdom says so. The same conventional wisdom that said Virginia Tech would beat Miami easily…but I digress…

1 Alabama SEC 9 0 1.000 189
2 Georgia SEC 9 0 1.000 183
3 Wisconsin Big 10 9 0 1.000 177
4 Miami ACC 8 0 1.000 173
5 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 8 1 0.889 173
6 Clemson ACC 8 1 0.889 170
7 Central Florida American Athletic 8 0 1.000 163
8 Oklahoma Big 12 8 1 0.889 161
9 USC Pac 12 8 2 0.800 154
10 Washington Pac 12 8 1 0.889 152
11 Memphis American Athletic 8 1 0.889 150
12 Texas Christian Big 12 8 1 0.889 150
13 Michigan St Big 10 7 2 0.778 147
14 Ohio St Big 10 7 2 0.778 141
15 Washington State Pac 12 8 2 0.800 141
16 Michigan Big 10 7 2 0.778 138
17 South Florida American Athletic 8 1 0.889 137
18 Mississippi State SEC 7 2 0.778 136
19 Penn State Big 10 7 2 0.778 135
20 Oklahoma St Big 12 7 2 0.778 133
21 Toledo MAC 8 1 0.889 129
22 Auburn SEC 7 2 0.778 128
23 San Diego St Mountain West 8 2 0.800 127
24 Northwestern Big 10 6 3 0.667 127
25 Iowa Big 10 6 3 0.667 125

As always, until next time, enjoy the games!!

Penn State Falls, Notre Dame Rises

Things are getting serious now in college football as losses are more and more devastating and wins more crucial for the handful of teams with a shot at the College Football Playoffs.  While it is certainly  too early to count Penn State out after their loss to Ohio State, the Nittany Lions road is now much tougher indeed.

By the same token, although Notre Dame rises to #4 on this week’s scale, their schedule is still a concern.  Their toughest remaining games, Miami and Stanford, are on the road and don’t be shocked if they stumble vs Wake Forest or Navy at South Bend, though those two aren’t as daunting as the Canes and Cardinal.

Anyway, enough chit-chat. There will be no more conference look-ins this season. Just the M Scale as the postseason nears…

1   Alabama SEC 8 0 1.000 176
2   Wisconsin Big 10 8 0 1.000 170
3   Georgia SEC 8 0 1.000 170
4   Notre Dame Independent-ACC 7 1 0.875 163
5   Miami ACC 7 0 1.000 160
6   Clemson ACC 7 1 0.875 158
7   Ohio St Big 10 7 1 0.875 157
8   Central Florida American Athletic 7 0 1.000 153
9   Penn State Big 10 7 1 0.875 150
10   Oklahoma St Big 12 7 1 0.875 148
11   Oklahoma Big 12 7 1 0.875 146
12   Memphis American Athletic 7 1 0.875 145
13   Washington Pac 12 7 1 0.875 143
14   Texas Christian Big 12 7 1 0.875 141
15   USC Pac 12 7 2 0.778 141
16   Stanford Pac 12 6 2 0.750 137
17   Iowa State Big 12 6 2 0.750 135
18   Virginia Tech ACC 7 1 0.875 134
19   Arizona Pac 12 6 2 0.750 133
20   Michigan St Big 10 6 2 0.750 132
21   South Florida American Athletic 7 1 0.875 131
22   Mississippi State SEC 6 2 0.750 131
23   LSU SEC 6 2 0.750 130
24   South Carolina SEC 6 2 0.750 130
25   Michigan Big 10 6 2 0.750 129

Another Week, Another SEC/B1G Split

For the second week in a row, the M Scale top 4 consists of two SEC teams and two Big 10 members.

Meanwhile, in the Mea Culpa department, last week I accidentally gave South Florida’s win and resulting points to Central Florida.  This has been corrected for this week’s Scale.  Also, my conference look-ins have yet to include the SEC or Big 12 while twice featuring the Pac-12. I should really fire my quality control guy but that’s me so…

Wk 8   Teams Conference w l pct
1 Alabama SEC 8 0 1.000
2 Penn State Big 10 7 0 1.000
3 Wisconsin Big 10 7 0 1.000
4 Georgia SEC 7 0 1.000
5 Texas Christian Big 12 7 0 1.000
6 Miami ACC 6 0 1.000
7 Central Florida American Athletic 6 0 1.000
8 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 6 1 0.857
9 Clemson ACC 6 1 0.857
10 Michigan St Big 10 6 1 0.857
11 South Florida American Athletic 7 0 1.000
12 Washington State Pac 12 7 1 0.875
13 Ohio St Big 10 6 1 0.857
14 Memphis American Athletic 6 1 0.857
15 Oklahoma St Big 12 6 1 0.857
16 NC State ACC 6 1 0.857
17 Oklahoma Big 12 6 1 0.857
18 Washington Pac 12 6 1 0.857
19 Stanford Pac 12 5 2 0.714
20 USC Pac 12 6 2 0.750
21 LSU SEC 6 2 0.750
22 Virginia Tech ACC 6 1 0.857
23 South Carolina SEC 5 2 0.714
24 Michigan Big 10 5 2 0.714
25 Mississippi State SEC 5 2 0.714

And so this week we make up for lost time with not one but two conference look-ins.  First we present the SEC:

1 Alabama 8 0 1.000 176
4 Georgia 7 0 1.000 160
21 LSU 6 2 0.750 130
23 South Carolina 5 2 0.714 122
25 Mississippi State 5 2 0.714 119
28 Texas A&M 5 2 0.714 118
30 Auburn 6 2 0.750 117
33 Kentucky 5 2 0.714 114
46 Florida 3 3 0.500 101
79 Mississippi 3 4 0.429 82
82 Vanderbilt 3 4 0.429 78
83 Tennessee 3 4 0.429 76
97 Arkansas 2 5 0.286 66
98 Missouri 2 5 0.286 66

Alabama and Georgia look really strong, as expected; but don’t sleep on those three teams at the bottom of the Top 25 either, at least as far as a New Year’s Six bowl is concerned.

Now for the Big 12:

5 Texas Christian 7 0 1.000 157
15 Oklahoma St 6 1 0.857 137
17 Oklahoma 6 1 0.857 136
27 Iowa State 5 2 0.714 119
39 West Virginia 5 2 0.714 108
55 Texas Tech 4 3 0.571 95
66 Texas 3 4 0.429 86
86 Kansas St 3 4 0.429 74
109 Kansas 1 6 0.143 54
128 Baylor 0 7 0.000 26

Is it just me or does this group look waaay stronger that last year?  TCU is in contention for a playoff spot with the Oklahoma schools not that far behind.  Iowa State and West Virginia are having banner seasons although the bottom two teams are only 1-13 combined.

That first Big 12 title game is looking very interesting indeed.

Until next week, enjoy the games…

Fall of the Tigers (for now)

Or, the week of upsets.  #1 Clemson was the big story, losing to 27-24 to lowly Syracuse. That was the tip of the iceberg; #5 Washington also fell, losing to lowly, lowly Arizona St. 13-7. Not to be outdone, #6 Washington was trounced by lowlier than ever California 37-3.  Finally,  #22 Auburn lost to not-highly-ranked LSU 27-23.

So what does that do to the M Scale?  Well, it of course means Alabama is back in the top spot. It means Clemson fell to #7. It means…well..have a look for yourself:

1 Alabama SEC 7 0 1.000 167
2 Georgia SEC 7 0 1.000 160
3 Wisconsin Big 10 6 0 1.000 154
4 Penn State Big 10 6 0 1.000 154
5 Texas Christian Big 12 6 0 1.000 151
6 Central Florida American Athletic 6 0 1.000 147
7 Clemson ACC 6 1 0.857 147
8 USC Pac 12 6 1 0.857 145
9 Miami ACC 5 0 1.000 144
10 Ohio St Big 10 6 1 0.857 140
11 Michigan St Big 10 5 1 0.833 138
12 NC State ACC 6 1 0.857 137
13 Notre Dame Independent-ACC 5 1 0.833 134
14 South Florida American Athletic 5 0 1.000 133
15 Michigan Big 10 5 1 0.833 133
16 Washington Pac 12 6 1 0.857 132
17 Washington State Pac 12 6 1 0.857 132
18 Stanford Pac 12 5 2 0.714 132
19 San Diego St Mountain West 6 1 0.857 130
20 Oklahoma Big 12 5 1 0.833 128
21 Oklahoma St Big 12 5 1 0.833 127
22 Memphis American Athletic 5 1 0.833 127
23 Kentucky SEC 5 1 0.833 127
24 Virginia ACC 5 1 0.833 126
25 South Carolina SEC 5 2 0.714 122

So as of now, the Scale has two SEC teams paired with two B1G teams in the playoff. We’ll see.

Our weekly conference look-in spotlights the Pac 12:

8 USC 6 1 0.857 145
16 Washington 6 1 0.857 132
17 Washington State 6 1 0.857 132
18 Stanford 5 2 0.714 132
33 Arizona 4 2 0.667 109
44 California 4 3 0.571 104
45 Arizona State 3 3 0.500 104
48 Utah 4 2 0.667 101
53 UCLA 3 3 0.500 96
56 Oregon 4 3 0.571 95
57 Colorado 4 3 0.571 93
114 Oregon State 1 6 0.143 54

Next week, we’ll see how the Big 12 shapes up. Until then, enjoy the games!!